- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum RSI 49
- MACD Above signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $82.96 (+1.44%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 8.7%
- Naive MAPE
- 8.4%
- Skill
- -4%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 8.7% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 8.4% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast (damping φ=0.90) points to $82.96 (+1.44% from $81.78), with an 80% interval of $73.88–$92.04 (±11.1%). RSI(14) is 48.9 (neutral), MACD histogram is above signal (bullish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 8.7% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model essentially matches naive baseline. Confidence: 29%.