- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum RSI 50
- MACD Above signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $83.15 (+1.06%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 7.9%
- Naive MAPE
- 8.5%
- Skill
- +7%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 7.9% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 8.5% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast (damping φ=0.85) points to $83.15 (+1.06% from $82.28), with an 80% interval of $74.79–$91.51 (±10.2%). RSI(14) is 49.8 (neutral), MACD histogram is above signal (bullish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 7.9% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model essentially matches naive baseline. Confidence: 36%.