- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum Bullish
- MACD Below signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $94.29 (+2.86%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 7.9%
- Naive MAPE
- 9.3%
- Skill
- +15%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 7.9% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 9.3% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast (damping φ=0.98) points to $94.29 (+2.85% from $91.67), with an 80% interval of $85.05–$103.52 (±10.1%). RSI(14) is 61.7 (bullish), MACD histogram is below signal (bearish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 7.9% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model beats naive baseline by 15%. Confidence: 38%.