- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum Bullish
- MACD Below signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $106.28 (+3.32%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 6.5%
- Naive MAPE
- 8.5%
- Skill
- +24%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 6.5% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 8.5% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast (damping φ=0.98) points to $106.28 (+3.33% from $102.86), with an 80% interval of $97.78–$114.78 (±8.3%). RSI(14) is 65.4 (bullish), MACD histogram is below signal (bearish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 6.5% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model beats naive baseline by 24%. Confidence: 50%.