- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum Overbought
- MACD Below signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $101.60 (+3.85%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 8.0%
- Naive MAPE
- 8.9%
- Skill
- +10%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 8.0% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 8.9% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast (damping φ=0.98) points to $101.60 (+3.85% from $97.83), with an 80% interval of $91.63–$111.57 (±10.2%). RSI(14) is 73.7 (overbought), MACD histogram is below signal (bearish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 8.0% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model beats naive baseline by 10%. Confidence: 36%.