- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum Bullish
- MACD Above signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $108.39 (+6.66%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 7.6%
- Naive MAPE
- 9.8%
- Skill
- +22%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 7.6% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 9.8% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast points to $108.39 (+6.66% from $101.62), with an 80% interval of $98.46–$118.32 (±9.8%). RSI(14) is 68.5 (bullish), MACD histogram is above signal (bullish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 7.6% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model beats naive baseline by 22%. Confidence: 46%.